2b:null 2c:["$","title",null,{"children":"China Risk Index | Adjacent | Observable"}] 31:T733,Military Conflict - [Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-in-2025) - [China x Taiwan military clash by June 30th? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-taiwan-military-clash-by) - [China x Taiwan military clash by December 31st? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-taiwan-military-clash-by) - [China x India military clash by June 30th? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31) - [China x India military clash by December 31st? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31) - [China x Philippines military clash by June 30th? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-philippines-military-clash-by) - [China x Philippines military clash by December 31st? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-philippines-military-clash-by) Diplomacy - [Will Xi visit the US before July? (NO)](https://polymarket.com/event/will-xi-visit-the-us-before-july) - [Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July? (NO)](https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-xi-meeting-before-july) - [Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July? (NO)](https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-meet-with-xi-jinping-before-july) Technology - [DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/deepseek-better-than-all-openai-models-before-june) - [DeepSeek V4 released before July? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/deepseek-v4-released-before-july) Policy - [Trump bans China from buying US farmland? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/trump-bans-china-from-buying-us-farmland) - [House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/house-passes-bill-banning-chinese-student-visas-before-june)32:T4c7,marketIds = ["31744904918540551255746477870591988696765533508454358136402838182759217759615", "84744545860657825089614608180972247700542551979045361323164925011674462100063", "103647866943442025256458530177828816304116184736369192704431526690290505866241", "82814855654672504061247670166274349069234747344604118638495723199148512283270", "62499647704758013801224496519154801919449219197687180369505612744147504118777", "57397236409742675866794078969938882703997534789819796049243275890565527834954", "3718387788567617313338471554090366734439508528619970937843645958109785948065", "849442379841528383777933408328963367251303993776677076290785033334542222642", "31048397862565808780979830996088252808372214733605755499646757654037932775538", "42619459596896638306136983267698698867006920309538575355705487817457007300251", "7282240974654800303328577762157796988229054792029789559538121611027503919109", "67962139808612287836371913590016746239916661611323324286049832754103324419687", "7282240974654800303328577762157796988229054792029789559538121611027503919109", "85358633477116280460540113488210963155191742640478806896461223650346369452931", "49304431543562811549499069817515174283029327937802540306394671085319895360082"]33:T4ca,// Create the chart using our template viewof militaryConflictDataChart = AdjacentChart({ title: `Military Conlict-related Markets`, subtitle: "via Polymarket markets", data: militaryMarketPriceHistory, seriesNames: Object.keys(militaryMarketPriceHistory[0]).filter( (key) => key !== "date" ), // Expanded color palette with unique colors for each series seriesColors: [ "#E63946", // Red "#1D3557", // Dark blue "#2A9D8F", // Teal "#F4A261", // Orange "#457B9D", // Medium blue "#A8DADC", // Light blue "#9B5DE5", // Purple "#00BBF9", // Bright blue "#00F5D4", // Mint "#FEE440", // Yellow "#8338EC", // Violet "#FB5607", // Dark orange "#FF006E", // Pink "#3A86FF", // Royal blue "#8AC926", // Lime green "#FFBE0B" // Amber ], xAxis: { field: "date", label: "Date", format: "%b %d" }, yAxis: { label: "Probability (%)", domain: [0, 100] }, width: width, aspectRatio: 0.625, showLegend: true, showWatermark: true, // Explicitly set to false to use the legend at the bottom instead showEndLabels: true, showDots: false, showGrid: true, // Add the new parameter to position the legend legendPosition: "center-bottom" })34:T4b6,// Create the chart using our template viewof diplomacyDataChart = AdjacentChart({ title: `Diplomacy-related Markets`, subtitle: "via Polymarket markets", data: diplomacyPriceHistories, seriesNames: Object.keys(diplomacyPriceHistories[0]).filter( (key) => key !== "date" ), // Expanded color palette with unique colors for each series seriesColors: [ "#E63946", // Red "#1D3557", // Dark blue "#2A9D8F", // Teal "#F4A261", // Orange "#457B9D", // Medium blue "#A8DADC", // Light blue "#9B5DE5", // Purple "#00BBF9", // Bright blue "#00F5D4", // Mint "#FEE440", // Yellow "#8338EC", // Violet "#FB5607", // Dark orange "#FF006E", // Pink "#3A86FF", // Royal blue "#8AC926", // Lime green "#FFBE0B" // Amber ], xAxis: { field: "date", label: "Date", format: "%b %d" }, yAxis: { label: "Probability (%)", domain: [0, 100] }, width: width, aspectRatio: 0.625, showLegend: true, showWatermark: true, // Explicitly set to false to use the legend at the bottom instead showEndLabels: true, showDots: false, showGrid: true, // Add the new parameter to position the legend legendPosition: "center-bottom" })35:T4ba,// Create the chart using our template viewof technologyDataChart = AdjacentChart({ title: `Technology-related Markets`, subtitle: "via Polymarket markets", data: technologyPriceHistories, seriesNames: Object.keys(technologyPriceHistories[0]).filter( (key) => key !== "date" ), // Expanded color palette with unique colors for each series seriesColors: [ "#E63946", // Red "#1D3557", // Dark blue "#2A9D8F", // Teal "#F4A261", // Orange "#457B9D", // Medium blue "#A8DADC", // Light blue "#9B5DE5", // Purple "#00BBF9", // Bright blue "#00F5D4", // Mint "#FEE440", // Yellow "#8338EC", // Violet "#FB5607", // Dark orange "#FF006E", // Pink "#3A86FF", // Royal blue "#8AC926", // Lime green "#FFBE0B" // Amber ], xAxis: { field: "date", label: "Date", format: "%b %d" }, yAxis: { label: "Probability (%)", domain: [0, 100] }, width: width, aspectRatio: 0.625, showLegend: true, showWatermark: true, // Explicitly set to false to use the legend at the bottom instead showEndLabels: true, showDots: false, showGrid: true, // Add the new parameter to position the legend legendPosition: "center-bottom" })36:T4aa,// Create the chart using our template viewof policyDataChart = AdjacentChart({ title: `Policy-related Markets`, subtitle: "via Polymarket markets", data: policyPriceHistories, seriesNames: Object.keys(policyPriceHistories[0]).filter( (key) => key !== "date" ), // Expanded color palette with unique colors for each series seriesColors: [ "#E63946", // Red "#1D3557", // Dark blue "#2A9D8F", // Teal "#F4A261", // Orange "#457B9D", // Medium blue "#A8DADC", // Light blue "#9B5DE5", // Purple "#00BBF9", // Bright blue "#00F5D4", // Mint "#FEE440", // Yellow "#8338EC", // Violet "#FB5607", // Dark orange "#FF006E", // Pink "#3A86FF", // Royal blue "#8AC926", // Lime green "#FFBE0B" // Amber ], xAxis: { field: "date", label: "Date", format: "%b %d" }, yAxis: { label: "Probability (%)", domain: [0, 100] }, width: width, aspectRatio: 0.625, showLegend: true, showWatermark: true, // Explicitly set to false to use the legend at the bottom instead showEndLabels: true, showDots: false, showGrid: true, // Add the new parameter to position the legend legendPosition: "center-bottom" })37:T4ae,// Create the chart using our template viewof marketDataChart = AdjacentChart({ title: `All China Risk-related Markets`, subtitle: "via Polymarket markets", data: marketPriceHistory, seriesNames: Object.keys(marketPriceHistory[0]).filter( (key) => key !== "date" ), // Expanded color palette with unique colors for each series seriesColors: [ "#E63946", // Red "#1D3557", // Dark blue "#2A9D8F", // Teal "#F4A261", // Orange "#457B9D", // Medium blue "#A8DADC", // Light blue "#9B5DE5", // Purple "#00BBF9", // Bright blue "#00F5D4", // Mint "#FEE440", // Yellow "#8338EC", // Violet "#FB5607", // Dark orange "#FF006E", // Pink "#3A86FF", // Royal blue "#8AC926", // Lime green "#FFBE0B" // Amber ], xAxis: { field: "date", label: "Date", format: "%b %d" }, yAxis: { label: "Probability (%)", domain: [0, 100] }, width: width, aspectRatio: 0.625, showLegend: true, showWatermark: true, // Explicitly set to false to use the legend at the bottom instead showEndLabels: true, showDots: false, showGrid: true, // Add the new parameter to position the legend legendPosition: "center-bottom" })38:T5bf,chinaRiskIndex = generateMarketIndex(processedDataForIndex, { indexName: "China Risk Index", weights: { // Customize component weights (must sum to approximately 1) components: { time: 0.5, // Increase importance of time horizon (default: 0.4) liquidity: 0.2, // Decrease importance of liquidity (default: 0.3) severity: 0.3 // Keep severity the same (default: 0.3) }, // Use your custom severity map severityMap: chinaRiskMap, // Customize time horizon settings timeHorizon: { shortTerm: 60, // Redefine short-term as 60 days (default: 30) longTerm: 120, // Redefine long-term as 120 days (default: 180) shortTermWeight: 2.0, // Increase weight for short-term markets (default: 1.5) mediumTermWeight: 1.0, // Keep medium term weight (default: 1.0) longTermWeight: 0.5 // Decrease weight for long-term markets (default: 0.7) }, // Customize liquidity weight settings liquidity: { minWeight: 0.7, // Increase minimum liquidity weight (default: 0.5) maxWeight: 1.3 // Reduce maximum liquidity weight (default: 1.5) } }, // Custom aggregation function (inverting the index - higher is better) // Uncomment this if you want an inverted index // aggregationFunction: (weightedSum, totalWeight) => { // return totalWeight > 0 ? 100 - (weightedSum / totalWeight) : null; // }, includeRawData: true // Include raw data for debugging or further analysis })39:[] 2f:{"id":"04587d7dbb2ccca7","slug":"china-risk-index","title":"China Risk Index","thumbnail":"0c7a9310422f7a2b84fb725f8333e739f71966abc9a1825f3d31e007772af509","access_level":"public","create_time":"$D2025-05-12T17:55:28.481Z","update_time":"$D2025-05-13T13:23:28.914Z","view_time":null,"first_public_time":"$D2025-05-13T12:31:24.167Z","fork":false,"stars":0,"starred":false,"owner":{"type":"team","id":"59b2aaa9189b56d4","login":"adjacent","name":"Adjacent","avatar_url":"https://avatars-next.observableusercontent.com/e34bfda26f2a3e11bf04364a685b422fda7ad5630974dadb7c20559fdf8ea883","tier":"pro_2024"},"version":198,"publish_version":null,"role":null,"authored":false,"authors":[{"type":"individual","id":"4d75e52b48086387","login":"dougiebuckets","name":"dougiebuckets","avatar_url":"https://avatars-next.observableusercontent.com/d55596be54f2db1cfdf1dd98b171dbdcc2e8c228c20ce7d20d50902a10772d44","tier":null}],"members":[{"type":"team","id":"59b2aaa9189b56d4","login":"adjacent","name":"Adjacent","avatar_url":"https://avatars-next.observableusercontent.com/e34bfda26f2a3e11bf04364a685b422fda7ad5630974dadb7c20559fdf8ea883","tier":"pro_2024","role":"editor"},{"type":"individual","id":"4d75e52b48086387","login":"dougiebuckets","name":"dougiebuckets","avatar_url":"https://avatars-next.observableusercontent.com/d55596be54f2db1cfdf1dd98b171dbdcc2e8c228c20ce7d20d50902a10772d44","tier":null,"role":"editor"}],"comments":[],"custom_thumbnail":false,"trashed":false,"subscribed":null,"forks":0,"collection":null,"type":"notebook","body":{"title":"China Risk Index","cells":[{"id":0,"value":"# China Risk Index","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":31,"value":"import {\n // Price Histories\n fetchProcessedMarketHistoriesMax,\n fetchAdjacentMarketData,\n\n // Indices\n calculateTimeHorizonWeight,\n calculateLiquidityWeight,\n calculateSeverityWeight,\n combineMarketDataWithPrices,\n calculateMarketIndex,\n generateMarketIndex,\n\n // Charts\n AdjacentChart,\n IndexAdjacentChart\n} from \"@adjacent/adjacent-helper-function-notebook-spec\"","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":5,"value":"The following index, fueled by prediction market data, is used as a directional mechanism to assess risk associated with China on the world stage. We've organized the markets by \"Military Conflict\", \"Diplomacy\", \"Technology\", and \"Policy\"","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":7,"value":"$31","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":11,"value":"Now we'll assign the market IDs, market names, and market sources to variables","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":21,"value":"$32","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":15,"value":"adjIds = [\"adj_polymarket_will_china_invade_taiwan_in_2025\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_taiwan_military_clash_by_ju\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_taiwan_military_clash_by_de\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_india_military_clash_by_jun\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_india_military_clash_by_dec\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_philippines_military_clash_\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_philippines_military_clash_\", \"adj_polymarket_will_xi_visit_the_us_before_july\", \"adj_polymarket_trump_putin_xi_meeting_before_july\", \"adj_polymarket_will_trump_meet_with_xi_jinping_bef\", \"adj_polymarket_deepseek_better_than_all_openai_mod\", \"adj_polymarket_deepseek_v4_released_before_july\", \"adj_polymarket_deepseek_better_than_all_openai_mod\", \"adj_polymarket_trump_bans_china_from_buying_us_far\", \"adj_polymarket_house_passes_bill_banning_chinese_s\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":13,"value":"marketNames = [\"Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? (YES)\", \"China x Taiwan military clash by June 30th? (YES)\", \"China x Taiwan military clash by December 31st? (YES)\", \"China x India military clash by June 30th? (YES)\", \"China x India military clash by December 31st? (YES)\", \"China x Philippines military clash by June 30th? (YES)\", \"China x Philippines military clash by December 31st? (YES)\", \"Will Xi visit the US before July? (NO)\", \"Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July? (NO)\", \"Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July? (NO)\", \"DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? (YES)\", \"DeepSeek V4 released before July? (YES)\", \"DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? (YES)\", \"Trump bans China from buying US farmland? (YES)\", \"House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June? (YES)\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":17,"value":"marketSources = [\"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":35,"value":"We'll now get price histories for all of the markets that will make up the index","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":37,"value":"marketPriceHistory = {\n return await fetchProcessedMarketHistoriesMax(\n marketIds,\n marketNames,\n marketSources\n );\n}","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":46,"value":"## Charts","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":48,"value":"Military Conflict\n- [Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-in-2025)\n- [China x Taiwan military clash by June 30th? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-taiwan-military-clash-by)\n- [China x Taiwan military clash by December 31st? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-taiwan-military-clash-by)\n- [China x India military clash by June 30th? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31)\n- [China x India military clash by December 31st? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-india-military-clash-by-december-31)\n- [China x Philippines military clash by June 30th? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-philippines-military-clash-by)\n- [China x Philippines military clash by December 31st? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/china-x-philippines-military-clash-by)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":76,"value":"militaryAdjIds = [\"adj_polymarket_will_china_invade_taiwan_in_2025\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_taiwan_military_clash_by_ju\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_taiwan_military_clash_by_de\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_india_military_clash_by_jun\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_india_military_clash_by_dec\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_philippines_military_clash_\", \"adj_polymarket_china_x_philippines_military_clash_\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":78,"value":"militaryMarketIds = [\"31744904918540551255746477870591988696765533508454358136402838182759217759615\", \"84744545860657825089614608180972247700542551979045361323164925011674462100063\", \"103647866943442025256458530177828816304116184736369192704431526690290505866241\", \"82814855654672504061247670166274349069234747344604118638495723199148512283270\", \"62499647704758013801224496519154801919449219197687180369505612744147504118777\", \"57397236409742675866794078969938882703997534789819796049243275890565527834954\", \"3718387788567617313338471554090366734439508528619970937843645958109785948065\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":74,"value":"militaryMarketNames = [\"Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? (YES)\", \"China x Taiwan military clash by June 30th? (YES)\", \"China x Taiwan military clash by December 31st? (YES)\", \"China x India military clash by June 30th? (YES)\", \"China x India military clash by December 31st? (YES)\", \"China x Philippines military clash by June 30th? (YES)\", \"China x Philippines military clash by December 31st? (YES)\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":95,"value":"militaryMarketSources = [\"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":92,"value":"militaryMarketPriceHistory = {\n return await fetchProcessedMarketHistoriesMax(\n militaryMarketIds,\n militaryMarketNames,\n marketSources\n );\n}","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":56,"value":"$33","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":50,"value":"Diplomacy\n- [Will Xi visit the US before July? (NO)](https://polymarket.com/event/will-xi-visit-the-us-before-july)\n- [Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July? (NO)](https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-xi-meeting-before-july)\n- [Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July? (NO)](https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-meet-with-xi-jinping-before-july)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":100,"value":"diplomacyAdjIDs = [\"adj_polymarket_will_xi_visit_the_us_before_july\", \"adj_polymarket_trump_putin_xi_meeting_before_july\", \"adj_polymarket_will_trump_meet_with_xi_jinping_bef\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":102,"value":"diplomacyMarketIds = [\"849442379841528383777933408328963367251303993776677076290785033334542222642\", \"31048397862565808780979830996088252808372214733605755499646757654037932775538\", \"42619459596896638306136983267698698867006920309538575355705487817457007300251\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":104,"value":"diplomacyMarketNames = [\"Will Xi visit the US before July?\", \"Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?\", \"Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":106,"value":"diplomacyMarketSources = [\"polymarket\", \"polymarket\", \"polymarket\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":108,"value":"diplomacyPriceHistories = {\n return await fetchProcessedMarketHistoriesMax(\n diplomacyMarketIds,\n diplomacyMarketNames,\n diplomacyMarketSources\n );\n}","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":60,"value":"$34","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":52,"value":"Technology\n- [DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/deepseek-better-than-all-openai-models-before-june)\n- [DeepSeek V4 released before July? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/deepseek-v4-released-before-july)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":126,"value":"technologyAdjIds = [\"adj_polymarket_deepseek_better_than_all_openai_mod\", \"adj_polymarket_deepseek_v4_released_before_july\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":128,"value":"technologyMarketIds = [\"7282240974654800303328577762157796988229054792029789559538121611027503919109\", \"67962139808612287836371913590016746239916661611323324286049832754103324419687\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":132,"value":"technologyMarketSources = [\"polymarket\", \"polymarket\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":130,"value":"technologyMarketNames = [\"DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?\", \"DeepSeek V4 released before July?\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":147,"value":"technologyPriceHistories = {\n return await fetchProcessedMarketHistoriesMax(\n technologyMarketIds,\n technologyMarketNames,\n technologyMarketSources\n );\n}","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":63,"value":"$35","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":54,"value":"Policy\n- [Trump bans China from buying US farmland? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/trump-bans-china-from-buying-us-farmland)\n- [House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June? (YES)](https://polymarket.com/event/house-passes-bill-banning-chinese-student-visas-before-june)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"","database":"$undefined"},{"id":156,"value":"policyAdjIds = [\"adj_polymarket_trump_bans_china_from_buying_us_far\", \"adj_polymarket_house_passes_bill_banning_chinese_s\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":158,"value":"policyMarketIds = [\"85358633477116280460540113488210963155191742640478806896461223650346369452931\", \"49304431543562811549499069817515174283029327937802540306394671085319895360082\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":160,"value":"policyMarketNames = [\"Trump bans China from buying US farmland\", \"House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June?\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":162,"value":"policyMarketSources = [\"polymarket\", \"polymarket\"]","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":173,"value":"policyPriceHistories = {\n return await fetchProcessedMarketHistoriesMax(\n policyMarketIds,\n policyMarketNames,\n policyMarketSources\n );\n}","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":66,"value":"$36","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":43,"value":"$37","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":179,"value":"adjacentMarketData = fetchAdjacentMarketData(\n adjIds,\n \"38314d45-7899-4f51-a860-f6b898707a70\"\n)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":182,"value":"processedDataForIndex = combineMarketDataWithPrices(adjacentMarketData, marketPriceHistory)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":185,"value":"chinaRiskMap = Object.fromEntries([\n [\"invade\", 5],\n [\"military clash\", 4],\n [\"visit\", 3],\n [\"meet\", 3],\n [\"meeting\", 3],\n [\"DeepSeek better\", 3],\n [\"DeepSeek V4\", 3],\n [\"Trump bans China\", 2],\n [\"banning Chinese student visas\", 2]\n])","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":188,"value":"$38","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":192,"value":"// Example usage with your Israel Risk Index\nviewof chinaRiskIndexChart = IndexAdjacentChart({\n title: \"China Risk Index\",\n subtitle: \"Based on weighted prediction market data\",\n data: chinaRiskIndex,\n indexName: \"China Risk Index\",\n indexColor: \"#9B5DE5\",\n width: width,\n xAxis: { field: \"date\", label: \"Date\", format: \"%b %d\" },\n yAxis: { label: \"Likelihood Index (%)\", domain: [0, 100] },\n thresholds: false,\n showLegend: true,\n showWatermark: true,\n showEndLabels: true,\n showDots: true,\n dotFrequency: 5\n})","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"}],"files":"$W39","stdlib":"1","titling":"auto"}} 30:"$2f:body"