The avatar for @nunosempere
Nuño Sempere
Researcher at the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute
Published
Edited
May 3, 2022
Fork of Quantifying Uncertainty in GiveWell's GiveDirectly Cost Effectiveness Analysis
2
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donation_size
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sum= arr => arr.reduce((a,b) => a+b,0)
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mean_transfer_efficiency = {
let totalMoneyTransfered = sum(
spending_data.map((transfer) => parseFloat(transfer["Money to Transfers"].replaceAll(",", "")))
);
let totalSpending = sum(
spending_data.map((transfer) => parseFloat(transfer["Total spending"].replaceAll(",", "")))
);
let efficiency = totalMoneyTransfered / totalSpending;

return efficiency;
}
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nuno_guess_transfer_efficency_going_forward = "0.75 to 0.9"
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cell(nuno_guess_transfer_efficency_going_forward)
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transfer_efficiency = nuno_guess_transfer_efficency_going_forward
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transfer_percentages = spending_data.map(x => parseFloat( x["Percentage on Transfers"]))
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viewof bindings1 = partial(`transfer_efficiency = ${transfer_efficiency}
total_funding_available = $donation_size * transfer_efficiency`, {}, {donation_size: donation_size})
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household_size_data = FileAttachment("household size analysis - Family size by household.csv").csv()
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household_sizes = household_size_data.map(x => parseFloat(x["Total household size"])).filter(x => x !== 0)
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viewof log_increase_in_initial_consumption = partial(`duration_of_initial_consumption = 0.5 to 3
log_increase_in_initial_consumption = (log(amount_consumed / duration_of_initial_consumption + baseline_consumption, 2) - log(baseline_consumption, 2)) * duration_of_initial_consumption`, baseline_bindings)
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Type JavaScript, then Shift-Enter. Ctrl-space for more options. Arrow ↑/↓ to switch modes.

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// to do: check that squiggle is computing this directly.
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md`## Midline estimate: Doublings of consumption per dollar`
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Type JavaScript, then Shift-Enter. Ctrl-space for more options. Arrow ↑/↓ to switch modes.

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// to do: Consistent capitalization of Squiggle
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