41:null 42:["$","title",null,{"children":"Intentions de vote dans les sondages | Savinien de Rivet | Observable"}] 48:Ta7b,hypotheseChart = (hypothese, tour) => { let data = Object.assign({}, hypothese) let tetesListe = data.tetes_liste // console.log(tetesListe) let c = { domain: Object.keys(candidate_colors), range: Object.values(candidate_colors) } // c.domain.push('???') // c.range.push('black') let confiance = 0.95 let Z = jStat.normal.inv((1+confiance)/2, 0, 1) let nsp_p = 1 - hypothese.sous_echantillon/sondage.echantillon let nsp_e = Z * Math.sqrt( nsp_p * (1-nsp_p) / sondage.echantillon ) let nsp = { tete_liste: '???', intentions: nsp_p * 100, erreur_inf: (nsp_p - nsp_e) * 100, erreur_sup: (nsp_p + nsp_e) * 100 } tetesListe.sort((a,b) => c.domain.indexOf(nuance(a)) - c.domain.indexOf(nuance(b))) tetesListe.forEach(d => d.nuance_tete = '(' +nuance(d) + ')') // console.log(tetesListe) tetesListe.push(nsp) tetesListe = tetesListe.filter((d) => d.intentions >= 0.1) tetesListe = tetesListe.filter((d) => d.tete_liste != '???') let plot = Plot.plot({ caption: html` Intentions de vote portant sur le ${ tour.toLowerCase() } pour la région ${regionSelect}
${ hypothese.sous_echantillon } répondant·e·s pour un échantillon de ${ sondage.echantillon } personnes soit (${ Math.round(hypothese.sous_echantillon/sondage.echantillon * 100) }%)
Données : NspPolls · ${ sondage.nom_institut }`, height: 700, marginLeft: 50, marginRight: 10, marginTop: 50, x:{ domain: tetesListe.map(t => t.tete_liste), padding: 0.6, axis:null, label: '' }, y:{ domain:[0, d3.max([35, d3.max(tetesListe.map(c=>c.erreur_sup))])], nice: true, grid: true, ticks: 3, label: 'intentions de vote (%)' }, color: c, marks:[ // Plot.ruleX([(tour=='Premier tour')?5:null], {stroke: 'red', strokeOpacity: 0.3}), // Plot.ruleX([(tour=='Premier tour')?10:null], {stroke: 'green', strokeOpacity: 0.3}), Plot.barY(tetesListe, {x: 'tete_liste', y1: 'erreur_inf', y2: 'erreur_sup', fill: (d)=>(d.tete_liste!='???')? nuance(d):'???', rx: 2}), Plot.dot(tetesListe, {y: 'intentions', x: 'tete_liste', fill: 'white', r: 4}), Plot.text(tetesListe, { text: 'tete_liste', y: 'erreur_sup', x: 'tete_liste', textAnchor: 'middle', dx: 0, dy:-15 }), Plot.text(tetesListe, { text: 'nuance_tete', y: 'erreur_sup', x: 'tete_liste', textAnchor: 'middle', dx: 0, dy:-5 }) ] }) return plot }49:T4c4,moyenneChart = (moyennes) => { let data = moyennes let c = { domain: Object.keys(candidateColors), range: Object.values(candidateColors) } moyennes.sort((a,b)=> c.domain.indexOf(nuance(a, 'name')) - c.domain.indexOf(nuance(b, 'name'))) let plot = Plot.plot({ caption: html` Moyenne des sondages portant sur le premier tour pour la région ${regionSelect}
Nombre de sondages utilisés : ${regionSondages.length}
Données : NspPolls`, height: moyennes.length * 40, marginLeft: 150, y:{ domain: moyennes.map(t => t.name), padding: 0.5, axis:null, label: '' }, x:{ domain:[0, d3.max([35, d3.max(data.map(c=>c.sup))])], nice: true, grid: true, label: 'intentions de vote (%)' }, color: c, marks:[ // Candidat·e·s Plot.barX(data, {y: 'name', x1: 'inf', x2: 'sup', fill: d => nuance(d, 'name'), rx: 10 }), Plot.dot(data, {y: 'name', x: 'mean', fill: 'white', r: 4}), Plot.text(data, { text: 'name', y: 'name', x: 'inf', textAnchor: 'end', dx: -6 }) ] }) return plot }4a:T9cb,tourTimeChart = (intentions, tetesListe) => { let h = width/3 let m = { t: 20, b: 20, l: 30, r: 20, } const svg = d3.create("svg") .attr("viewBox", [0, 0, width, h]); let x = d3.scaleTime() .domain([d3.min(intentions, i => new Date(i.date)), d3.max(intentions, i => new Date(i.date))]) .nice() .range([m.l, width-m.r]) let y = d3.scaleLinear() .domain([0,d3.max([35, intentions.map(i => i.erreur_sup)].flat())]) .nice() .range([h-m.b,m.t]) let r = d3.scaleLinear() .domain([d3.min(intentions, i => i.n), d3.max(intentions, i => i.n)]) .range([2,7]) let color = d3.scaleOrdinal() .domain(Object.keys(candidateColors)) .range(Object.values(candidateColors)) let a = (tete) => { let data = [ ...d3.group(intentions.filter(i => i.tete_liste == tete.name), i => i.date)] .map(d => ({ date: d[0], min: d3.min(d[1], i => i.intentions), max: d3.max(d[1], i => i.intentions) }) ) .sort((a,b) => a.date > b.date) return d3.area() .x(d => x(new Date(d.date))) .y0(d => y(d.min)) .y1(d => y(d.max)) (data) } svg.append('g') .selectAll('path') .data(tetesListe) .join('path') .attr('d', a) .attr('fill', d => color(d.info['Nuance candidat'])) .attr('opacity', 0.5) svg.append('g') .selectAll('path') .data(tetesListe) .join('path') .attr('d', a) .attr('stroke', d => color(d.info['Nuance candidat'])) .attr('stroke-width', 2) .attr('stroke-opacity', 1) .attr('fill', 'transparent') svg.append('g') .selectAll('circle') .data(intentions) .join('circle') .attr('cx', d => x(new Date(d.date))) .attr('cy', d => y(d.intentions)) .attr('r', d => r(d.n)) .attr('fill', d => color(tetesListe.find(t => t.name == d.tete_liste).info['Nuance candidat'])) .attr('opacity', 0.2) svg.append("g") .attr("transform", `translate(0,${h - m.b})`) .call(d3.axisBottom(x)); svg.append("g") .attr('transform', `translate(${m.l},0)`) .call(d3.axisRight(y).tickSize(width -m.l -m.r)) .call(g => g.select(".domain").remove()) .call(g => g.selectAll(".tick:not(:first-of-type) line") .attr("stroke-opacity", 0.5) .attr("stroke-dasharray", "2,2") ) .call(g => g.selectAll(".tick text").attr("x", 4).attr("dy", -4)) return svg.node() }4b:[] 46:{"id":"f3a3519bfc7267a1","slug":"intentions-de-vote-dans-les-sondages","title":"Intentions de vote dans les sondages","thumbnail":"7186259d66c00cbe83d7256cf100d6e7657c9b60a0c53a96e9721f81f606f654","access_level":"public","create_time":"$D2021-06-17T07:19:33.911Z","update_time":"$D2021-06-18T22:20:45.037Z","view_time":null,"first_public_time":"$D2021-06-17T07:36:38.491Z","has_unpublished_edits":null,"fork":true,"stars":0,"starred":false,"owner":{"type":"team","id":"89c36903955690bc","login":"sav10","name":"Savinien de Rivet","avatar_url":"https://avatars-next.observableusercontent.com/a76f429c141d713a6ceb2b23a7af5690b2a8d521d43865881308d2b45d584c0e","tier":"pro_2024","bio":"","following":false},"version":1421,"publish_version":1421,"role":null,"authored":false,"authors":[{"type":"individual","id":"fc302a78097bab32","login":"sav10","name":"Savinien de Rivet","avatar_url":"https://avatars-next.observableusercontent.com/a76f429c141d713a6ceb2b23a7af5690b2a8d521d43865881308d2b45d584c0e","tier":null,"bio":"","following":false}],"members":[{"type":"individual","id":"fc302a78097bab32","login":"sav10","name":"Savinien de Rivet","avatar_url":"https://avatars-next.observableusercontent.com/a76f429c141d713a6ceb2b23a7af5690b2a8d521d43865881308d2b45d584c0e","tier":null,"role":"editor"}],"comments":[],"custom_thumbnail":false,"trashed":false,"lapsed":null,"subscribed":null,"forks":0,"collection":null,"type":"notebook","body":{"titling":"auto","title":"Intentions de vote dans les sondages","cells":[{"id":0,"value":"# Intentions de vote dans les sondages\n## Régionales 2021","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":15,"value":"viewof regionSelect = Inputs.select(regions, {label: 'Région'})","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":646,"value":"viewof sondage = Inputs.select(regionSondages.filter(d => tParser(d.fin_enquete) > tParser(\"2021-05-15\")), { format: x => x.nom_institut + ' le ' + niceDates(x.fin_enquete), label: 'Sondage'})","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":105,"value":"## Premier tour","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1029,"value":"$48","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":743,"value":"viewof chartTour1 = hypotheseChart(t1Hypothese, \"Premier tour\")\n// d3.selectAll('svg rect').attr('width', 10)","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1323,"value":"viewof chartTour1_styled = html`

${hypotheseChart(t1Hypothese, \"Premier tour\")}`","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1333,"value":"t1Hypothese.tetes_liste","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1254,"value":"styleIt = html``","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1294,"value":"tParser = d3.timeParse(\"%Y-%m-%d\")","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1233,"value":"niceDates = (s) => {\n let l = s.split('-')\n return l[2] + '/' + l[1]\n}","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":652,"value":"viewof t1Hypothese = Inputs.select(\n sondage.tours.find(t => t.tour == 'Premier tour').hypotheses,\n {\n format: x => x.hypothese,\n label: 'hypothèse'\n })","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1142,"value":"candidate_colors = ({\n EXG: \"#761519\",\n COM: \"#af1920\",\n FI: \"#cc1422\",\n SOC: \"#e6476b\",\n GEN: \"#e32653\",\n RDG: \"#ef809e\",\n DVG: \"#eb6184\",\n ECO: \"#42b38e\",\n DIV: \"#bdbcbc\",\n ANM: \"#bdbcbc\",\n REG: \"#cfb096\",\n GJ: \"#bdbcbc\",\n REM: \"#f3af28\",\n MDM: \"#ec9528\",\n AGR: \"#e77928\",\n MR: \"#e77928\",\n DVC: \"#e77928\",\n UDI: \"#a064a1\",\n LR: \"#35559e\",\n DSV: \"#25335c\",\n DVD: \"#3d6ab0\",\n RN: \"#14152d\",\n EXD: \"#1e2045\"\n})","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":894,"value":"Inputs.table(t1Hypothese.tetes_liste)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":662,"value":"## Deuxième tour","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":667,"value":"viewof t2Hypothese = Inputs.select(\n sondage.tours.find(t => t.tour == 'Deuxième tour').hypotheses,\n {\n format: x => x.hypothese,\n label: 'hypothèse'\n })","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":684,"value":"hypotheseChart(t2Hypothese, \"Deuxième tour\")","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":705,"value":"Inputs.table(t2Hypothese.tetes_liste)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":622,"value":"## Moyenne des sondages","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":767,"value":"### Premier tour","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":758,"value":"moyenneChart(t1Moyennes)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":381,"value":"moyenneTable(t1Moyennes)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":789,"value":"tourTimeChart(t1Intentions, t1TetesListe)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":883,"value":"### Deuxième tour","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":796,"value":"moyenneChart(t2Moyennes)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":852,"value":"moyenneTable(t2Moyennes)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":857,"value":"tourTimeChart(t2Intentions, t2TetesListe)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":404,"value":"$49","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":777,"value":"moyenneTable = (moyenne) => Inputs.table(moyenne.sort((a,b)=> b.mean - a.mean).map(c => ({\n 'tête de liste': c.name,\n moyenne: c.mean,\n 'intervalle inférieur': c.inf,\n 'intervalle supérieur': c.sup\n})))","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":256,"value":"$4a","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":376,"value":"## Pour continuer la lecture\n\n- [Suivi des sondages](https://observablehq.com/@taniki/regionales2021-sondages-suivi) : Un notebook qui permet d'avoir une vision d'ensemble sur les sondages en eux-mêmes. Couverture géographique, commanditaires, etc.\n- [Comparer les écarts entre têtes de liste](https://observablehq.com/@taniki/regionales2021-ecarts-checker) : Un notebook pour vérifier si les écarts sont significatifs avec une longue notice sur le détail mathématico-méthodologiques de statistiques de sondage.","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":10,"value":"## Les données\n\n### NspPolls\n\n${ desc }\n\n\n### Ministère de l'intérieur\n\n${ descMinInt }\n\n### Couleurs wikipedia\n\n${ descColors }","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":5,"value":"import { sondages, regions, desc } from '@taniki/regionales2021-donnees-nsppolls'","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":887,"value":"## Données de travail","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":366,"value":"### Sondages","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":362,"value":"Inputs.table(sondages)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":369,"value":"### Régions","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":641,"value":"regions","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":217,"value":"Inputs.table(regionSondages)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":18,"value":"regionSondages = sondages.filter(i => i.region == regionSelect)","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":72,"value":"### Sondages du premier tour","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":230,"value":"Inputs.table(premierTour)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":27,"value":"premierTour = tourSondages(regionSondages, 'Premier tour')","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":571,"value":"### Sondages du second tour","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":562,"value":"Inputs.table(secondTour)","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":557,"value":"secondTour = tourSondages(regionSondages, 'Deuxième tour')","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":811,"value":"tourSondages = (sondages, tour) => {\n return sondages\n .map(s => [s, s.tours.find(t => t.tour == tour)])\n .map(([s, x]) => x?.hypotheses.map(h => ({sondage: s.id, date: s.fin_enquete, n: h.sous_echantillon, ...h})))\n .filter(r => r != undefined)\n .flat()\n}","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":64,"value":"### Têtes de liste","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":233,"value":"Inputs.table(t1TetesListe.map(c => ({\n name:c.name,\n ...c.info\n})))","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":807,"value":"t1TetesListe = tetesListeRegion('Premier tour')","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":803,"value":"tetesListeRegion = (tour) => {\n let data = [ ...new Set(\n tourSondages(regionSondages, tour)\n .map(x => x.tetes_liste)\n .flat()\n .map(t => t.tete_liste)\n .filter(t => t != null)\n)]\n .map(t => [t, candidates.find(c => t.toLowerCase() == `${c['Prénom candidat']} ${c['Nom candidat']}`.toLowerCase() && c['Tête de Liste'] == 'Oui')])\n .filter(t => t[1] != undefined )\n .map(t => ({ 'name': t[0], info: t[1] }))\n\n return data\n}","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":828,"value":"Inputs.table(t2TetesListe.map(c => ({name:c.name, ...c.info})))","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":823,"value":"t2TetesListe = tetesListeRegion('Deuxième tour')","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":99,"value":"### Intentions de vote","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"md","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":831,"value":"// intentions = (sondages) => ","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":123,"value":"Inputs.table(t1Intentions)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":96,"value":"t1Intentions = premierTour\n .map(t => t.tetes_liste.map(tl => ({sondage: t.sondage, date: t.date, n: t.sous_echantillon, hypothese: t.hypothese, ...tl})))\n .flat()\n .filter(t => t1TetesListe.map(t => t.name).includes(t.tete_liste))\n .sort((a,b) => b.date.localeCompare(a.date))","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":249,"value":"Inputs.table(t1Moyennes)","pinned":false,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":191,"value":"t1Moyennes = [ ...d3.group(t1Intentions, i => i['tete_liste'])]\n .map(t => {\n let n = d3.sum(t[1], i => i.n)\n let p = d3.sum(t[1], i => i.intentions * i.n) / n\n let Z = jStat.normal.inv((1+0.95)/2, 0, 1)\n let e = Z * Math.sqrt(((p/100) * (1 - (p/100))) / n)\n\n return {\n name: t[0],\n mean: p,\n n,\n inf: d3.sum(t[1], i => i.erreur_inf * i.n) / d3.sum(t[1], i => i.n),\n sup: d3.sum(t[1], i => i.erreur_sup * i.n) / d3.sum(t[1], i => i.n),\n inf2: p - e*100,\n sup2: p + e*100,\n }\n })","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":846,"value":"Inputs.table(t2Intentions)","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":842,"value":"t2Intentions = secondTour\n .map(t => t.tetes_liste.map(tl => ({sondage: t.sondage, date: t.date, n: t.sous_echantillon, hypothese: t.hypothese, ...tl})))\n .flat()\n .filter(t => t2TetesListe.map(t => t.name).includes(t.tete_liste))\n .sort((a,b) => b.date.localeCompare(a.date))","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":867,"value":"Inputs.table(t2Moyennes)","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":848,"value":"t2Moyennes = [ ...d3.group(t2Intentions, i => i['tete_liste'])]\n .map(t => {\n let n = d3.sum(t[1], i => i.n)\n let p = d3.sum(t[1], i => i.intentions * i.n) / n\n let Z = jStat.normal.inv((1+0.95)/2, 0, 1)\n let e = Z * Math.sqrt(((p/100) * (1 - (p/100))) / n)\n\n return {\n name: t[0],\n mean: p,\n n,\n inf: d3.sum(t[1], i => i.erreur_inf * i.n) / d3.sum(t[1], i => i.n),\n sup: d3.sum(t[1], i => i.erreur_sup * i.n) / d3.sum(t[1], i => i.n),\n inf2: p - e*100,\n sup2: p + e*100,\n }\n })","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":41,"value":"import { raw as candidates, desc as descMinInt } from '@taniki/regionales2021-donnees-minint'","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":930,"value":"nuance = (c, name = 'tete_liste') => {\n let found = candidates.find(x => `${x['Prénom candidat']} ${x['Nom candidat']}`.toLowerCase() == c[name].toLowerCase())\n \n if (found) return found['Nuance candidat']\n \n else if (c[name] == 'Fabienne Grébert') return 'ECO'\n else if (c[name] == 'Aleksandar Nikolik') return 'RN'\n else if (c[name] == 'Eric Pecqueur') return 'EXG'\n else if (c[name] == 'Jean-Pierre Marchaud') return 'ECO'\n else if (c[name] == 'Joseph Rivière') return 'RN'\n else if (c[name] == 'Jean-Yves Payet') return 'EXG'\n else if (c[name] == 'Jérémy Clément et Christelle de Crémiers') return 'DIV'\n\n \n else return ''\n}","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1366,"value":"candidates.find(x => `${x['Prénom candidat']} ${x['Nom candidat']}`.toLowerCase() == 'Éric PECQUEUR'.toLowerCase().normalize(\"NFD\").replace(/[\\u0300-\\u036f]/g, \"\"))","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1403,"value":"candidates.filter(x => `${x['Prénom candidat']} ${x['Nom candidat']}`.toLowerCase() == 'Jean-Pierre Marchau'.toLowerCase())","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":1407,"value":"candidates.filter(x => `${x['Nom candidat']}`.toLowerCase() == 'Marchand'.toLowerCase().normalize(\"NFD\").replace(/[\\u0300-\\u036f]/g, \"\"))","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":76,"value":"// import {desc as descColors } from '@taniki/regionales2021-colors'\nimport {candidateColors, desc as descColors } from '@taniki/regionales2021-colors'","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"},{"id":480,"value":"jStat = require('jstat')","pinned":true,"hidden":false,"mode":"ojs","author":"$undefined","summary":"$undefined","tool":"$undefined","providerMetadata":"$undefined","attachments":"$undefined","output":"$undefined","database":"$undefined"}],"files":"$W4b","stdlib":"1"}} 47:"$46:body"